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Super Bowl prop picks

For entertainment purposes only, here are some wagers on today’s Super Bowl one might consider, if there is a legal wagering outlet in your local jurisdiction. I’ll update after the game with actual results.

Most of these go with the theme that defensive preparation will allow for some elements of the 2 offenses to get shut down today.

  • Game UNDER 57 (WIN). [Not really a prop, but I think the defenses have a fighting chance today.]
  • And similarly, 1st Quarter UNDER 10.5  -110 (WIN), 3rd Quarter UNDER 10.5 +110 (LOSS)
  • Finally, Game UNDER 42.5, at 4/1. What the heck? (LOSS)
  • Manning UNDER 2.5 TD passes (-130) (WIN). In all games since 2005 he has averaged about 1.6 per game, so getting an extra TD for the anticipated pace of the game should be enough to make this worthwhile.
  • Bush UNDER 53.5 rushing+receiving yards (+120) (LOSS). Could certainly have a big game, but I will go against the hype at those odds.
  • Austin Collie does not score a TD (-160). (WIN) He has 7 of them all year long, 3 against the Titans secondary…
  • Dallas Clark UNDER 69.5 yards (-110). (LOSS) This is around his average for the year, but I believe he will get a fair deal of attention from the Saints D.
  • Brees UNDER 300.5 yards (-110). (WIN) If they keep the game competitive and can mix up the offense, this should win easy. If it’s 21-0 Colts, watch out [check out previous losing Super Bowl QB lines]
  • Darren Sharper is MVP (50/1) or Donald Brown (also 50/1). I can make up a scenario…
  • Past posted: Saints +11 / UNDER 63 teaser (-110) (WIN)
  • 2nd half OVER 28 (WIN) hedge.

Finished 8-4 not counting MVPs… not too shabby.

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